Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.134541 2.471573 2.842121 3.279423 3.781095 4.338313 5.003898
2025-02-23 1.573972 1.991042 2.489074 3.126466 3.919427 4.872331 6.103309
2025-03-02 1.180891 1.615303 2.173187 2.939738 3.963119 5.279601 7.098919
2025-03-09 0.964222 1.414539 2.031607 2.934664 4.217789 5.970134 8.538891
2025-03-16 0.778372 1.217672 1.856460 2.846598 4.335226 6.480961 9.797640
2025-03-23 0.696967 1.154933 1.857124 3.002648 4.813288 7.550435 11.983123
2025-03-30 0.618234 1.080800 1.825786 3.099939 5.208845 8.539118 14.167084
2025-04-06 0.536869 0.987245 1.746992 3.105372 5.452730 9.313536 16.101721
2025-04-13 0.443260 0.856084 1.584398 2.943536 5.391548 9.577947 17.222455
2025-04-20 0.403917 0.815456 1.571431 3.037543 5.778094 10.630816 19.795907
2025-04-27 0.377897 0.795258 1.591413 3.191826 6.288389 11.951235 22.984926
2025-05-04 0.344944 0.755811 1.568812 3.260821 6.645413 13.030185 25.848565
2025-05-11 0.310023 0.708241 1.526546 3.291532 6.944774 14.058810 28.784704
2025-05-18 0.268426 0.639506 1.431507 3.201968 6.993653 14.614600 30.876347
2025-05-25 0.227643 0.565390 1.313788 3.046864 6.885094 14.842777 32.335661
2025-06-01 0.205751 0.531099 1.277440 3.062906 7.141023 15.840191 35.490796
2025-06-08 0.180128 0.483335 1.203491 2.983357 7.175833 16.376159 37.729076
2025-06-15 0.173284 0.481237 1.235530 3.154188 7.797934 18.245834 43.077258
2025-06-22 0.163082 0.468701 1.240557 3.260799 8.283676 19.866594 48.048837
2025-06-29 0.148697 0.442459 1.207700 3.269216 8.535344 20.983654 51.992284
2025-07-06 0.127652 0.393979 1.110682 3.100679 8.330068 21.015080 53.397124
2025-07-13 0.120810 0.384943 1.116149 3.200425 8.813622 22.737401 59.041971
2025-07-20 0.116954 0.384089 1.143679 3.363219 9.480548 24.977294 66.194529